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Mr. G's 6 Star HUSH HUSH Tell Nobody Super System

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PURCHASE OF THE 6 STAR SYSTEM

Remember this is ONE TIME ONLY ACCESS so print out or write down the Link

  Lets start with this.  Mr. G developed the system with the Bread-man because and added my own flair to it.  You have to Know something about football to start that will help you even more with this system.  The more information you can collect the more accurate you will be.  Yes you can just input the numbers and you will hit, but at a lower percentage.  Its simple the more you bring to the table the higher your percentage will be. 

  First you have to make a list of all the teams playing that week.  This is important DONT USE ANY POINT SPREADS OR LOOK AT ANY SPREADS when making your list you do not want to look at any lines until you are ready to pick your winners.  After your list is made you then what to place a check next to the team who you think will win straight up.  Now having done that make your own points spreads include how much you think the team you checked should win bye and the final score of the game.  This will also help you follow football a little more.   What you are trying to do here is determine what lines are real and what lines are juiced.  This is what makes the difference between a professional Handicapper and the average guy.  A professional can spot those inflated lines.

  Next you have to know your injury reports.  Not talking Defense or offensive lineman but key position players "play makers"  QB's, RB's and even WR's.  Don't get tricked into believing a team will do bad because their stat Defensive end is hurt that player is not going to impact the game like a QB, RB, WR.  Teams make game plans up to stop players in these positions.  If your not sure about a game when a player is injured it simple DONT BET IT.  Cross those games right off of your list if you not sure.  Also look at Divisional games do these teams have a history of being close scoring like 24-21  and you wanna watch out for teams coming of big emotional wins like when a underdog beats a favorite on the road usually that team loses the following week or doesn't cover.

  STILL WITH ME!!  OK with all that in mind here is where the fun begins you are going to start number crunching.  You have your list you have the winners checked you have your own point spreads you have your final scores and how much a team is going to win bye now its almost time to pick the winners.  I collect a lot of information for each game so a log book will help.  I myself keep a log book of every NFL team.   You do not have to do that i use my books to reference information.  You can probably get the same information on the Internet.  I keep seven  5 subject notebooks with every team having their own section.  I have the teams schedule on the first page then i have every game broken down aon the rest of the pages.  For example lets use the COLTS.  In my book i would have this,  on the first page i have there schedule next page will be week 1 Colts v.s Bears i would then have their final score Colts 28 Bears 17 then would recap or highlight the game  The Bears scored on a kick return.  The bears had 3 turnovers.  The Colts scored 1 defensive TD and had 17 pts off of turnovers.  This is important to do because u can handicap a game correct but something like a kick return for a TD could mess you. For example the First week of the 2009 season the Bengals were playing the Broncos.  I had the game Handicapped right with the bengals winning and with no time left the Broncos scored a crazy touchdown on a batted ball to win and to cover.  Next I would have Total yards  passing and rushing yrds Colts 310 total yrds,  211 passing and 99 rushing, Bears 218....I also like to keep track of how many plays each team ran  Colts 57 plays , 27 passing and 25 rushing, Bears 49 plays..... Turnovers Colts Def 3, Colts Off 0, Bears Def.....also i keep track of average  yards per play And i do this for every team every week. 

Now you have your list of games for the week your reference note book in order we can start collecting data.  This system is primarily based on total yardage and points scored so we have to  know these.  Well how to i figure out how many total yards a team is going to have before they play.  This is the toughest part.  I like to use 3 different references.  First I use the teams average Total yards for a home/away game.  If their home I use their home stats...  Next I use their opponents home/away stats.  If their opponents is on the road I use their road stats...  Finally i use the total yards of the closet team they are facing.  Basically  If the Colts were playing the Bears and the  bears had the 9th rank defenses I would look to see what team the colts played that has a similarly ranked defense  and the total yards the colts had against that team would be my number.  Finally I would add all those yards together and divide by 3 now you have your total yards.  Also you are going to have to tweak this number sometimes that's the difference between picking 60% and 70%.   Sometimes  a team might allow a ridiculous amount of yards per game and you have to be aware of that factor. Or they mave have played the worst teams in the league at home these things are very important to correctly handicapping games. I usually reference my average yards per play as well.  If the colts average 5.8 ypp and the bears allow 6.3 then the result will be that the colts average yards for that game might be a bit higher.  These are just thing to keep in the back of your head.

OK now we have our total yards we have to figure how many yards per point a team allows.  This is easy.  Take their average yards per game in this case would be  329 and divide that by their average points allowed per game for example would be 20.7  so i would divide 20.7 into 329 and would get 15.8 yards per point.  Now the rest is simple you take the number of yards per point a team allows 15.8 and divide that number into how many total yards you think their opponent will have 402 I already discussed how to come up with that number.  So divide 15.8 into 402 and you get 25.4.  Now you have one side of the score.  Repeat this step for the other team and you have just figured out the score.  Now this is important if a team is home you have to use their home stats in if their away use their away stats.  Not following me Here is a example of what my sheet would look like for a game.

  So in this case you would have the Colts 25 and the Bears 20.  Now right that number down on your sheet next to the game.  On your sheet you should have the line you came up with the final score you came up with and how much that team should win by and a check mark next to the team you think will win outright.  Now add the statistical score you have just come up with to you list and now also add the real point spread and compare it to your chart if all the things add up in your favor then you have a winner my friend.  For example

Colts /  -7    27  they should by 7    25       real line -8   (44)

Bears           20                             20

  In this case I have the line at 7 I think the colts will win on the road, I statistically have the game as a 5 point game, and Vegas has it at 8 with a total of (44) in this case i would take the bears and if you look at the total you are almost right on.  In this case the line -8 is an inflated line every one is betting the colts.  So take the bears.  Now if you look at the bears average home yrds per play allowed and the colts avg away yrds per play you will notice that the bears number is lower so for fun you can multiply the colts avg away plays by the bears home yrds allowed per play   62*5.03 = 311 total yrds.  So in this case we are pretty close with our number 319 I wouldn't change anything.  This system is not fool proof some games you will have a 14 point favorite, and after you type the numbers in you have the underdog winning by 3.  In that case u have to tweak ur numbers a bit.  You have to watch out for hot teams if a team is hot for a 3-4 game stretch then use the stats from that stretch run and if they change QB's use the stats from when he began to start.  This is why the notebooks come in handy.  Good Luck Everyone and Remember the more information you can bring the Higher your percentage will be.

Are you going to have losing week YES are you going to break even so weeks YES.  You have to trust the system it is set up for the long hall.  Some week you will have 3 winners other s you might have 9 so it will balance out.  Keep in mind too that you created these number so have confidence in baking them.  Some games you are really going to like a favorite but after you look at the game and type your numbers in you find out that the underdog is going to cover so you don't bet it.  When you get up in the morning and look at the scores you see that the underdog did cover now your made at yourself and you cost yourself an easy win.  So basically just trust the system. 

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